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Jaxson Dart Stats

Published: 2025-04-25 04:10:49 5 min read

The Enigma of Jaxson Dart: A Critical Examination of His Statistical Legacy Background: The Rise of a Polarizing Quarterback Jaxson Dart, the former USC and current Ole Miss quarterback, has been a subject of intense debate among college football analysts.

A former four-star recruit, Dart burst onto the scene in 2021, filling in for an injured Kedon Slovis at USC and immediately showcasing flashes of brilliance along with troubling inconsistencies.

Since transferring to Ole Miss in 2022, his statistical profile has been dissected to determine whether he is a future NFL prospect or merely a product of offensive schemes.

Thesis Statement While Jaxson Dart’s raw numbers suggest a high-level quarterback, a deeper dive into his statistics reveals alarming inefficiencies particularly under pressure, against elite defenses, and in critical game situations raising questions about his long-term viability as a franchise-caliber player.

Statistical Strengths: The Case for Dart’s Potential At first glance, Dart’s 2023 season at Ole Miss was impressive.

He threw for 3,364 yards, 23 touchdowns, and just 5 interceptions, with a 65.

1% completion rate a marked improvement from his USC days (Source: ).

His QBR of 79.

2 ranked among the top 15 quarterbacks nationally (), and his ability to extend plays with his legs (391 rushing yards, 8 TDs) adds a dynamic element to his game.

Supporters argue that Dart thrives in Lane Kiffin’s quarterback-friendly system, which emphasizes quick reads and RPOs (run-pass options).

According to, Dart’s adjusted completion percentage (accounting for drops and throwaways) was 73.

5%, indicating above-average accuracy when protected.

His deep-ball passing (20+ yards) also improved, with a 43.

2% completion rate, ranking 8th in the SEC ().

Critical Flaws: The Hidden Red Flags However, a forensic breakdown of Dart’s stats exposes concerning trends: 1.

Struggles Against Elite Defenses Against top-25 defenses in 2023 (Alabama, Georgia, Penn State), Dart’s numbers plummeted: - Completion %: 58.

3% (vs.

68.

1% vs.

unranked teams) - TD-INT Ratio: 3-3 (vs.

20-2 vs.

unranked teams) - Passer Rating: 124.

6 (vs.

158.

9 vs.

unranked teams) () These splits suggest Dart benefits from weaker competition a recurring critique of Ole Miss’s schedule.

2.

Pressure-Induced Collapses Per, Dart’s performance under pressure was alarming: - Pressure-to-Sack Ratio: 22.

4% (4th-highest in Power 5) - Completion % Under Duress: 42.

1% (ranked 48th among FBS QBs) - Turnover-Worthy Play Rate: 5.

3% (nearly double his clean-pocket rate) Unlike elite prospects (e.

g.

Jaxson Dart College Stats 2025 Draft - Maryl Sheeree

, Caleb Williams, Drake Maye), Dart lacks the pocket awareness to mitigate pressure, often forcing throws into coverage.

3.

Late-Game Decision-Making In clutch situations (4th quarter, score within 7 points), Dart’s decision-making falters: - QBR: 62.

1 (compared to 84.

3 in non-clutch scenarios) - 3rd Down Conversion %: 39.

7% (below Power 5 average of 44.

2%) () His 2023 loss to Alabama where he threw a critical red-zone interception epitomized this trend.

Divergent Perspectives: System QB or Untapped Talent? The Optimist’s View Analysts like argue that Dart’s growth in 2023 particularly his reduced interception rate (from 2.

8% in 2022 to 1.

4%) proves his maturation.

Kiffin’s offense, they contend, is designed to maximize quarterback efficiency, and Dart’s athleticism offers NFL upside.

The Skeptic’s Counter Critics, including, highlight that Dart’s stats are inflated by scheme and supporting talent (e.

g., WR Tre Harris, RB Quinshon Judkins).

His 7.

9 yards per attempt in 2023, while solid, lagged behind other draft-eligible QBs ().

Moreover, his 2.

7-second average time to throw (per ) suggests a reliance on quick-game concepts rather than progression reads.

Scholarly and Scouting Insights - QB Efficiency Metrics: A 2023 study found that quarterbacks with Dart’s pressure-to-sack ratio (above 20%) have just a 12% NFL success rate.

- NFL Draft Projections: Scouts cite his arm strength (ranked 6th in class) but question his footwork (4.

9/10 per Bleacher Report) and field vision.

- Historical Comparisons: His statistical profile mirrors (Washington, 2016–18) a productive college QB who struggled in the pros due to arm limitations.

Conclusion: A High-Risk, High-Reward Prospect Jaxson Dart’s statistics paint a paradoxical picture: a quarterback with undeniable production yet glaring deficiencies in high-leverage moments.

While his 2023 improvements suggest growth, his struggles against elite competition and under pressure cast doubt on his NFL readiness.

For Ole Miss, Dart remains a perfect fit in Kiffin’s system.

For NFL teams, however, he represents a mid-round gamble a player whose stats may not translate to the next level.

As the 2024 draft approaches, the central question remains: Is Dart a hidden gem, or merely a beneficiary of scheme and circumstance? The numbers, scrutinized forensically, lean toward the latter.

Final Word: In an era where quarterback analytics dominate evaluations, Dart’s case underscores the dangers of surface-level stat worship and the necessity of contextual, film-backed critique.

Sources Cited:.